FREESIDE · FORECASTS · SELDON

Engagement forecast.

Global network · 90-day horizon · model seldon-v3 · updated 1h ago

Predicted

Actual Predicted Confidence band Do-nothing baseline ▎now · May

+18%

projected lift · 90d

82%

model confidence

+11%

vs. do-nothing

Simulation

SCENARIO A

Light touch

1 contact / week

+9%

SCENARIO B · PICKED

Balanced

2 contacts / week

+18%

SCENARIO C

Event-led

roundtable-first

+14%

Newsletter cadence — the single strongest driver.

IMPACT · HIGH

Group seeding — warms re-entry for lapsed members.

IMPACT · MED

Roundtable invites — small reach, high conversion.

IMPACT · MED

ATTRITION WATCH

214

senior alumni · rising risk

predicted to lapse within 60 days